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MMLU / The probability that there will be an accident on Highway 48 each day depends on…

Problem

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question

The probability that there will be an accident on Highway 48 each day depends on the weather. If the weather is dry that day, there is a 0.2% chance of an accident on Highway 48; if the weather is wet that day, there is a 1.0% chance of an accident. Today, the weather station announced that there is a 20% chance of the weather being wet. What is the probability that there will be an accident on Highway 48 today?

choices

  1. 0.0004
  2. 0.0016
  3. 0.002
  4. 0.0036

subject

high_school_statistics

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