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Omni-MATH / The UEFA Champions League playoffs is a 16-team soccer tournament in which…

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The UEFA Champions League playoffs is a 16-team soccer tournament in which Spanish teams always win against non-Spanish teams. In each of 4 rounds, each remaining team is randomly paired against one other team; the winner advances to the next round, and the loser is permanently knocked out of the tournament. If 3 of the 16 teams are Spanish, what is the probability that there are 2 Spanish teams in the final round?

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